A hypothetical interaction with the Tarot..
Suppose if we were to pose a question to the tarot on a hypothetical level. Any hopethesis posed has 2 variable outcomes- 1. there is no valuable difference between the proposed event with the outcome and as the observed is entirely due to chance., 2. there is a measurable difference which renders premise 1 non admissable and not a chance observation.
These 2 outcomes are termed Null and Alternative hypothesis respectively. How do we translate this to the tarot. Can tarot give us a statistically accurate answer in terms of measurement of its answer values? For eg- In a 1 card draw, for any question, you have a 1 in 78 chance of drawing any card for the supposed answer. should we repeat the draw, there’s another 1 in 78 chance of drawing any card inclusive of the 1st card drawn. Therefore, the probability of drawing the same card twice is 1/78 x 1/78 x 100 = 0.02 %
So, what we observe here is that- for the sake of accuracy- to get the same answer twice is a 1 in 50 event. What does this mean- in simple statistics– the chance of observing the same card pulled twice for a given question, you have to repeat the draw 50 times.
For example- Hypothetical question- should I invest millions in company X? if I get the card eg The Stars- i could be rest assured that yep- it will be agood start in investment. What If I wanted further affirmation, by that I mean, pulling the Star again to confirm the previous answer. I have 1:50 chance of pulling the Star again. Would I be happy to gamble my millions on a 1:50 chance odds? Would I bet on a horse which has a 1:50 chance of winning a race?
Maybe the answer here lies in the combinations of cards in tarot that convey the meaning yes, sure thing, beneficial move or sound investment. Now it will become a case of permutations or combinations. Well, if order of the cards pulled is important- then the permutations will give us the various selection of answers which will make me invest if these show up in a row. If the order drawn is unimportant- it will widen the possible combinations available which I will take as a yes, invest without fear answer. With me so far?
Say for example- in order for me to feel happy in investing- I want these 4 cards to come up in a draw that will say to me- yes invest. The order that they come up in is relevant. The mathematical correlate for that would be- 78 P 4 -(order of cards drawn is important and no repetitions)
so I get a large number of permutations of 4 card–34234200. If order doesnt matter- the 4 cards i want can turn up in any order – the number of 4 card combinations in a 78 card deck -1426425 is considerably less.
In Tarot- majority what we do is by the feel of the cards. But still- i am left with the question- what is the likelihood of me getting my 4 card combination that will give me the yes to invest out of the 1426425 combinations that I can pull out of my deck. I will speak with a statistician for this one-:) but In my calculation– in order to observe the 4 cards I want in a row which will give me a resolute yes- will be a remote event which will invariably fall under the Null Hypothesis category no difference, most likely a chance observation. Incidentally- only 35 combinations of 4 cards out of 1426425 combo’s will give me the resolute yes- invest. This means- the chance of tarot saying- yes Stormy- you can safely invest your millions in company XYZ is 1:400. So- actually– if the 4 cards did come up- I could attribute it to stroke of divine guidance- or fluke draw–, but I cannot assign satistical significance because i would need to repeat it again for confirmation- but would i get the sure fire first time round answer- if i did– then I sure well would think less hard about investing my money.
But honestly– how much of life do we go about making statistical calculations of each and every actions- where do you measure a gut reaction, an instinct, or a golden opportunity? But we can all take a calculated risk, right? That means seeking and assessing all avenues prior to taking a leap- how many of you will use the Tarot in your arsenal for wise counsel- especially when the wise counsel almost always doesnt give a yes/ no answer- occasionally a 50:50 answer, sometimes a lenient 60:40, or if you are extremely lucky or unlucky- a 80:20 or 90:10 :). Is this a value judgement or we can assign a spiritual weighting to each card in order to gauge the trend of the answer..
Tell me what you think about this… 🙂